PrepShorts · Teaching notes · Class 11 Mathematics · Chapter 14, ProbabilityPrepShorts

Chapter 14 · Probability

Every description of a happening picks out a part of the outcome list

Teaching notesNCERT16 min

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16 min.

What to assume they know

  • Set membership, subsets, the empty set, and that a set is fixed by which elements belong to it
  • Union, intersection, difference and complement as operations on sets, from the chapter on sets earlier in this book
  • Listing every outcome of a small experiment systematically — two coin tosses, one die — without repeating or omitting one
  • Reading set-builder notation of the form "all elements with this property"
  • Assumed by the chapter but not supplied anywhere in this book: what a random experiment is, and how a sample space is built for one. See Notes.

What they should be able to do

  • State the chapter's definition of an event, and say why the word "any" in it cannot be weakened
  • Translate a description given in ordinary language into the subset of a stated sample space that corresponds to it
  • Translate in the other direction: given a subset, produce a description that picks it out
  • Show that two unlike descriptions can determine one event, using the pair the chapter prints
  • Decide, given a realised outcome and an event, whether that event has occurred, and justify the decision by membership
  • Identify the subsets that the extreme descriptions produce — the whole sample space and the empty set
  • Explain why the size of an event is at most the size of the sample space, and what an event of size zero means

Where it usually goes wrong

  • "An event is one outcome." The chapter's own first event has two elements and its third has three. One outcome is a permitted size, not the meaning.
  • "Different wording means different events." Two rows of the printed table differ in both of their content words and still pick out the same three outcomes — and a student with the table can see the four words they share, so do not narrate this as wording that disagrees throughout. Sameness of events is sameness of sets, and nothing else.
  • "The empty set is not an event, it is the absence of one." The definition admits every subset, and the chapter supplies a description that produces the empty set on purpose. Excluding it would leave descriptions with no translation.
  • "An event occurred because it was the likely one." Occurrence is decided by membership after the outcome is known. Not one probability is stated anywhere in §14.1 — verified against the page images of pp. 289–295, which carry the section and the whole of Exercise 14.1.
  • "HT and TH are the same thing." They are two outcomes, distinguished by which toss produced the head. Merging them breaks the four-element list the rest of the chapter counts against.
  • "An event has to be describable in a short sentence." The definition points the other way: every subset is an event whether or not anyone has a phrase for it. Description is how humans reach events, not what events are.
  • "The sample space is the biggest event, so it is not really one." It is a subset of itself, so it qualifies, and the chapter's fifth row reaches it from an ordinary-sounding description.

Questions to check understanding

  • Given a sample space and a description in words, write the corresponding subset — the form of Exercise 14.1 Q2 (one die; six descriptions including a number below 7, a number above 7, a multiple of 3, a number below 4, an even number above 4, and a number not below 3) and Q3 (a pair of dice; the sum above 8, a 2 on one die or the other, and a sum that is a multiple of 3 while also reaching 7)
  • Given a subset, supply a description that picks it out, and note that more than one correct answer exists
  • Decide whether a stated event occurred, given the outcome that turned up
  • Identify which of several descriptions produce the empty set or the whole sample space
  • Exercise 14.1 Q4 and Q5 both start from three tossed coins and require the student to build the eight-outcome list before any classification is possible

Examples worth working on the board

Values marked verified are an added counting against the printed page; the chapter states most of the subsets and none of the sizes.

  • The two-toss sample space (§14.1, p. 289). One coin, tossed twice, and the chapter records both tosses in order: S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}. Verified: four outcomes, so four elements.
  • The opening question (§14.1, p. 289). "Exactly one head" is matched by HT and TH, giving the set {HT, TH}. Verified: two of the four outcomes, and the two that disagree between the tosses.
  • The correspondence table (§14.1, p. 289). Six descriptions against the same four-outcome sample space.
    • tails number exactly two → {TT}
    • tails number at least one → {HT, TH, TT}
    • heads number at most one → {HT, TH, TT}
    • the second toss is not a head → {HT, TT}
    • tails number at most two → the whole of S
    • tails number more than two → the empty set

Verified: the sizes run 1, 3, 3, 2, 4, 0. The second and third rows carry the same three-element subset, reached from two descriptions built on one frame: same opening noun phrase, same verb, same numeral, differing in exactly two places — which coin face is being counted, and whether the count is bounded below or above. Verified: they must agree, because in two tosses "one head at most" and "one tail at least" both exclude HH alone.

  • The last two rows are the extremes. Verified: two tosses cannot produce more than two tails, so no outcome qualifies and the subset is empty; and every outcome has two tails or fewer, so all four qualify and the subset is the whole sample space. These are the boundary cases the definition has to admit.
  • Occurrence on a die (§14.1.1, p. 290). The experiment is one throw of a die, and E is described as a number below 4. Verified: E = {1, 2, 3}; the chapter names 1 first and then adds 2 and 3, so three of the six outcomes each make E occur, and the other three each make it fail. Nothing about E changes between those cases — only which outcome turned up.
  • A counting fact worth stating. Verified: for the four-outcome sample space there are sixteen subsets in all, so sixteen distinct events, of which the table shows five different ones. The number sixteen is worked out here from the subset count of a four-element set; this chapter never counts its events.

Figures to have open

  • A fixed four-cell strip for S = {HH, HT, TH, TT} that every description highlights into. This is an added device; the chapter prints its correspondence as two text columns and no picture.
  • A box labelled S with a shaded region labelled E inside it, used once to fix the subset picture before the algebra topic needs it. Standard schematic. Note that the chapter's only numbered figure, Fig 14.1 on p. 301, is a Venn diagram of a different situation and belongs to the addition-rule topic; §14.1 prints no figure at all, verified against the page images of pp. 289–295.
  • A die net or six faces with {1, 2, 3} marked, for the occurrence section. Standard schematic.

Where this sits in the book

  • NCERT Class XI Mathematics, Chapter 14 "Probability", §14.1 "Event", pp. 289–290, including the correspondence table and the Definition line on p. 289
  • §14.1.1 "Occurrence of an event", p. 290
  • Exercise 14.1, pp. 294–295 — Q2 to Q6 are the translation drills for this topic
  • The chapter's Summary, p. 312, restates the definition of an event in its first bullet

The book

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