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Chapter 5 · Tales by Dots and Lines

The mean as the point where the distances balance

The mean as a balance point10 min

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10 min.

Dividing the total by the count looks like a recipe for sharing. It is also, silently, an instruction about a position on the number line.

The idea

Dividing the total by the count looks like nothing more than a fair-share recipe, but it silently fixes a geometric property: the mean is the one point on the number line where the distances out to the values below it add up to exactly the same total as the distances out to the values above it. That is not a lucky feature of the examples — it is the recipe rearranged, because every unit a value sits above the mean is a unit some other value must sit below it. Once you see that, the two facts the chapter needs come free: the mean is usually not halfway between the smallest and the largest value, and there is only one balancing point, because sliding a candidate centre in either direction stretches every distance on one side while shrinking every distance on the other.

What you should be able to do

  • Compute the mean of a small collection from its dot plot and mark it on the same axis
  • Show, for a given collection, that the total of the distances below the mean equals the total above it
  • State why that equality must hold, using the fact that the surpluses and shortfalls measured from the mean cancel
  • Produce a collection whose mean is nowhere near the midpoint of its smallest and largest values, and explain why the midpoint of the extremes is a different statistic
  • Test a proposed centre other than the mean and show that one side's total grows while the other's shrinks, so no second balancing point exists
  • Decide, without finishing the division, whether a stated number can be the mean of a plotted collection
  • Connect the fair-share reading of the mean to the balance reading, and say why they are one statement

Words to know

TermDefinition in one lineFirst introduced
meanthe total of the values divided by how many there areprinted throughout, Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103)
arithmetic meanthe same quantity, named to distinguish it from other kinds of averageprinted in Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103)
averagethe word the chapter uses interchangeably with meanprinted in Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103)
medianthe middle value once the data is sortedrecalled in Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103); developed at Part II p.108
measure of central tendencya single number offered as standing for the whole collectionprinted in Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103)
dot plota number line with one dot per value, stacked where values repeatprinted in Part II §5.1 (Part II p.103) and used on every page of the section
LHS, RHSthe labels the balance diagrams use for the totals on the left and right of the meanartwork lettering under each balance diagram on Part II pp.104–105, read on the printed page and again on the printed page; the running prose spells both out
distance to the meanhow far a value sits from the mean, counted as a positive length in either directionthe chapter measures these and labels them on the diagrams; this exact compound is the explanation's phrasing
balance pointthe place where the two totals of distances matchthe explanation's compound; the chapter titles the section "The Balancing Act" and speaks of keeping the balance (Part II p.105) without naming a point
deviationa value's signed gap from the mean, positive above and negative belowan added term; nowhere in this chapter, which works with unsigned distances only

Where people slip up

  • "The mean is halfway between the smallest and the largest." True for two values, which is exactly why the chapter opens there, and false as soon as there are three. Put {2, 4, 9}: halfway is 5.5, the mean is 5. The midpoint of the extremes ignores everything in between; the mean cannot.
  • "The mean has to be one of the values." {2, 6, 10, 12} has mean 7.5 and no value anywhere near it. The mean is a position on the line, not a member of the collection.
  • "Balance means the same number of values on each side." That is the median. In {10, 10, 11, 17} three values sit below 12 and one above, and the balance still holds — because one value 5 away pays for three values that are 2, 2 and 1 away. Counting values and measuring distances are different tests, and the chapter is about the second.
  • "Distances left and right — so the mean is where the arrows are longest." It is the totals that match, not the individual lengths — and the four printed diagrams on Part II p.104 make the point better than a single count would. Measured against each collection's mean: {6, 7, 8} gives 1 against 1, equal; {2, 4, 9} gives 3 and 1 against 4, longest on the right; {10, 10, 11, 17} gives 2, 2, 1 against 5, longest on the right; but {2, 6, 10, 12} gives 5.5 and 1.5 against 2.5 and 4.5, so the longest single arrow is on the left. Two right, one equal, one left. Use the fourth diagram deliberately: it breaks the pattern a student is on the point of generalising from the first three.
  • "If I move the centre a little, the two sides stay nearly balanced, so any nearby point works too." The printed pair of failed diagrams is the argument against this: move up by half a unit with three values below and one above and the left total gains 1.5 while the right loses 0.5. The imbalance appears immediately and grows steadily, which is why the balancing point is unique.
  • "The mean tells me what the collection looks like." It tells you where the collection balances and nothing else.
Transcript1,405 words

Take two numbers, three and seven, and average them. Add them and divide by two. You get five. Now look at where five sits. It is exactly halfway between the two. Try eight and nine: the average is eight and a half, and again it is exactly halfway. That is not luck, and it is not an example. For any two numbers at all, the average and the halfway point are the same number.

So with two values you can find the average by eye, without dividing anything. Which is a problem, because it teaches a rule that is about to stop working. Add a third value and the two part company immediately. Take two, four and nine. Halfway between the smallest and the largest is five and a half. The average is fifteen divided by three, which is five. Close, but not the same - and the difference matters, because halfway between the extremes ignores everything in between. Move the four anywhere you like and halfway does not move at all.

The average moves. It is paying attention to every value. So the halfway point is not a rough version of the average. It is a different measurement, and it can land on either side: four, eleven and fifteen average to ten, while halfway between the extremes is nine and a half. People call the average the centre of the data. What would that actually mean? Not halfway between the extremes - we have just seen that is something else.

Not the middle value either. That is a different measurement again. Here is a claim worth making, because it can be tested. Stand at the average and look both ways. Measure how far it is out to each value below you, and add those distances up. Then measure out to each value above you, and add those up. The claim is that the two totals are the same. Every time.

Test it. Ten, ten, eleven and seventeen. The total is forty-eight, over four values, so the average is twelve. Below twelve: ten is two away, the other ten is two away, eleven is one away. Two plus two plus one is five. Above twelve: seventeen, and only seventeen, five away. Five against five. And notice what is not being claimed. The arrows themselves are not equal - one long one on the right against three short ones on the left. It is the totals that match.

Six, seven and eight balance at seven with the longest arrow on neither side. Two, four and nine balance at five with the longest on the right. But two, six, ten and twelve balance at seven and a half with the longest arrow on the left. Three diagrams would have taught you a rule. The fourth breaks it. Balance also does not mean the same number of values on each side.

Look again at ten, ten, eleven, seventeen. Three values sit below twelve and one sits above it, and it balances anyway. The one value five away pays for three values that are two, two and one away. Counting values and measuring distances are different tests, and they have different answers. Split that collection so the numbers on each side match and you land at ten and a half - the middle value.

Measure the distances from there and you get one on the low side against seven on the high side. Nowhere near balanced. So why should the two totals ever agree? Pick any point on the line. Take the total of the distances up to the values above it, and subtract the total of the distances down to the values below it. Write that out and something collapses. Every value contributes itself minus the point, whichever side it is on.

So the whole difference is just the total of the values, minus the point counted once for every value. That is one line of arithmetic, and it decides everything. It is zero exactly when the point, multiplied by the count, equals the total. Which is to say, exactly when the point is the total divided by the count. The average was never given the balancing property. Dividing the total by the count is what balancing means, written the other way round.

That same line says something stronger: there is only one such place. Slide your candidate above the average and watch. Try twelve and a half on our four values: the low side totals six and a half against four and a half. Try eleven instead: two against six. The imbalance is two one way and four the other, and each time it is exactly four - the number of values - times the distance you moved.

You can see why from the arrows. Move up half a step and every value below gets half a step further away, while every value above gets half a step closer. Three below gain half each; one above loses half. The sides move at their own head counts, and the gap opens at their sum. So the imbalance grows the moment you leave, and it never comes back. One balancing point. No second one anywhere.

Now the sentence you started with, in the other language. Sharing fairly means levelling: take from whoever has more than the share, give to whoever has less, until everyone has the same. How much has to come off the top? For our four values, five. How much has to go on at the bottom? Five. Those are not two facts. They are the same two totals that were on the balance diagram, because the surplus above the average is measured by exactly the arrows on one side, and the shortfall below it by the arrows on the other.

Try levelling to eleven instead and it falls apart: you would take six off the top and put only two on at the bottom. Two short, every time. Fair share and balance point are one statement said twice. Two things the balancing point is not. It need not be one of your values. Two, six, ten and twelve balance at seven and a half, which is not in the collection and is not close to anything in it. It is a position, not a member.

And it is not where the arrows are shortest. At the average of ten, ten, eleven and seventeen, the arrows add up to ten. Move to the middle value, ten and a half, and they add up to eight. Shorter. The average makes the two totals equal, not small - and those are genuinely different requests. The middle value answers the second one. Here is what the balance reading buys you.

Twenty-five throws, plotted as a column of marks above each score. Someone claims the average is seventeen. Is it? You could add all twenty-five and divide. Or you could weigh the two sides against seventeen. Below: the distances add up to thirteen. Above: thirty-one. So no. The high side wins by eighteen, and the average has to sit above seventeen. And now the arithmetic finishes itself. That surplus of eighteen, spread over twenty-five throws, is eighteen twenty-fifths - so the average is seventeen point seven two.

The failed test handed you the answer. Sometimes you do not even need the distances. Three albums, each plotted by song length. One of them averages five point five seven minutes. Which? On the second album, every single song is shorter than five point five seven. On the third, the same. So for either of them, every value sits below that number. The low side has all the arrows and the high side has none.

Nothing can balance there, so neither album can have that average, and no dividing was done at all. That leaves the first, and it checks out: seven songs totalling thirty-nine minutes. One last warning, and it is about how much a balance point tells you. Here are two collections. Three, five, ten, twelve. And two, six, ten, twelve. Both balance at seven and a half. Both have totals of seven on each side. Draw only the rule and the two sums and the diagrams are identical.

But the arrows are different lengths, and so are the collections. The balancing point is a real property, argued and not asserted, and it is one number. It tells you where the collection balances. It does not tell you what the collection is.

Where this fits

Taken from the notes each video was made from, not from the reading order — these are the ideas this one rests on and the ones that later rest on it.

Comes up again in

Either side of this one

The book

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